Euro 2024 Top Goal Scorer Betting: Odds, Tips & Prediction

The race to finish the European Championships as the best goalscorer is encapsulated by the Top Goal Scorer Euro 2024 market. 

Teams rely on their star strikers for success, and here we examine who is shaping up to be the Golden Boot winner at Euro 2024 and how you can narrow your betting selections on the market.

Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer Odds

Here is a quick look at the latest odds from three of our recommended Euro 2024 football betting sites:

PlayerCountryBet365SpreadExCoral
Kylian MbappeFrance5/14/14/1
Harry KaneEngland11/29/29/2
Cristiano RonaldoPortugal12/18/112/1
Jude BellinghamEngland16/118/116/1
Romelu LukakuBelgium18/120/120/1
Olivier GiroudFrance22/122/120/1
Phil FodenEngland25/125/125/1

Euro 2024 Top Goal Scorer Favourites 

Harry Kane - England’s prolific striker, has been breaking records in the German Bundesliga with Bayern Munich this season. He is also an expert penalty-taker and will be essential to England’s title challenge.

Kylian Mbappé - France’s megastar. Already a World Cup and European Championship winner, Mbappé is one of the game’s elite. 

Cristiano Ronaldo - The Portuguese great is the all-time leading goalscorer in the tournament - can he win the 2024 UEFA Euro Golden Boot?

Jude Bellingham - Bellingham has been in stunning form for Real Madrid this season, and England fans hope he can carry that form into the Euros.

Romelu Lukaku - Still contracted to Chelsea, it's been another successful loan season for Lukaku, bagging 21 goals for Roma. Belgium's all-time top scorer will be keen to help his country win their first-ever international tournament.

Olivier Giroud - Retiring from international duty after Euro 2024, Olivier Giroud will look to add to his 57 goals for France as they aim to win the tournament for a record-equalling third time.

Phil Foden - Like countrymate Bellingham, Foden has been in stunning form domestically, scoring 27 goals in all competitions for Manchester City, and he'll be hungry to add to his four England goals this summer.

Last European Championship Top Goalscorers

In the last ten editions of the European Championship, here are the players that have come out on top.

  • 1984: Michel Platini (FRA) – 9
  • 1988: Marco van Basten (NED) – 5
  • 1992: Henrik Larsen (DEN), Karl-Heinz Riedle (GER), Dennis Bergkamp (NED), Tomas Brolin (SWE) – 3
  • 1996: Alan Shearer (ENG) – 5
  • 2000: Patrick Kluivert (NED), Savo Milošević (YUG) – 5
  • 2004: Milan Baroš (CZE) – 5
  • 2008: David Villa (ESP) – 4
  • 2012: Fernando Torres (ESP) – 3
  • 2016: Antoine Griezmann (FRA) – 6
  • 2020: Cristiano Ronaldo (POR) – 5

How To Bet On The Top Goal Scorer Euro 2024?

The top goalscorer market for Euro 2024 football betting is forecasting which player will score the most goals in the tournament. This popular market typically offers long odds because there are so many options available. 

The market starts to take shape a good month before the big kick-off and remains active throughout the tournament.

Europe’s elite goalscorers are the shortest-priced options in the market, considering the strength of their national side. The top goalscorer race is usually a very closely run thing.

Best Top Goal Scorer Euro 2024 Strategies

The stronger the team, the better their chance of going deeper into the draw. That means more playing time and better chances for their strikers to improve their tally.

So, the Euro 2024 results can be key to this market and target value in the 2024 UEFA Euro odds. 

Here are our top five factors to consider when making selections:

  • International Record - The international stage is a different world from club football. Look for proven goalscoring records for players at the top level in major tournaments.
  • Team Strength - If Kylian Mbappé were on the Gibraltar team, he wouldn’t have as good a chance of winning the Golden Boot as he does with his native France. Target picks from strong teams.
  • Team Tactics - A striker used to playing in a front two for their club could be less valuable, leading the line alone for his country. Consider how a striker is likely to be used.
  • Penalty Takers - Look for designated penalty takers. In the modern VAR age, this could be a significant factor.
  • Group Stage Draw - The group stage can be a great chance for top strikers to fill their boots against weaker opposition rather than in the latter stages against stronger defences.

Golden Boot Statistics

In the last ten editions of the European Championships, an average of 5 goals has won the Golden Boot. That was Cristiano Ronaldo’s winning tally at Euro 2020.

England’s Harry Kane won the 2018 World Cup Golden Boot but has totalled just four goals in eleven European Championship appearances.

Surprisingly, Kylian Mbappé, who has 12 goals in 14 World Cup appearances, is still looking for his first goal at the Euros. 

Golden Boot Rules

To clarify, for betting on the Euro 2024 results of the Top Goalscorer market, all goals scored during regulation time, time added-on, and Extra Time, including penalties, count towards a player’s tally.

Penalty shootout goals, however, don’t. The top goalscorer tiebreaker comes down to the least amount of minutes played. 

Top Goal Scorer Euro 2024 Underdog Betting

In such a deep market, the call of the underdog is likely to be looming. While there’s a temptation to look at Denmark’s Rasmus Hojlund, England’s Phil Foden, or Germany’s Jamal Musiala for Euro 2024 football, the title usually goes to a proven international goalscorer.

The biggest underdog surprise to threaten in this market was Patrik Schick’s haul at Euro 2020. Another Czech player, Milan Baros, defied the sports betting odds at Euro 2004 by top-scoring as the Czech Republic made a surprise run to the semi-finals.

Popular Euro 2024 Goalscorer Markets

There are many other markets available beyond the Top Goal Scorer Euro 2024. The pre-match selections on the First, Last and Anytime Goalscorer markets are always popular. The pick of those is the Anytime Goalscorer option, as it takes away any condition other than the player scoring. 

Forecasting a player To Score 2+ Goals is an alternative option when a strong nation is facing a minnow. Goalscorer options can also be included in Bet Builders, where, for example, an Anytime Goalscorer pick could be coupled with the player’s Total Shots Over/Under and Match Result.
 
Next Goalscorer is the best option for in-play betting, as you can watch the game and get a feel for who is playing well.

Top European Championship Goalscorer Facts

Cristiano Ronaldo is the all-time leading scorer with 14 goals across five editions. If he scores at Euro 2024, he will break the oldest European Championship goalscorer record, held by Austria's Ivica Vastić of 38 years, 257 days.

France legend Michel Platini holds the record for the most goals scored in a single edition, with nine at Euro '84. The quickest-ever goal was netted by Russia's Dmitri Kirichenko in 2004 after just 67 seconds. 

The only three players to have scored two goals in a European Championship Final are all German (Gerd Müller, Horst Hrubesh and Oliver Bierhoff).

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