The stronger the team, the better their chance of going deeper into the draw. That means more playing time and better chances for their strikers to improve their tally.
So, the Euro 2024 results can be key to this market and target value in the 2024 UEFA Euro odds.
Here are our top five factors to consider when making selections:
- International Record - The international stage is a different world from club football. Look for proven goalscoring records for players at the top level in major tournaments.
- Team Strength - If Kylian Mbappé were on the Gibraltar team, he wouldn’t have as good a chance of winning the Golden Boot as he does with his native France. Target picks from strong teams.
- Team Tactics - A striker used to playing in a front two for their club could be less valuable, leading the line alone for his country. Consider how a striker is likely to be used.
- Penalty Takers - Look for designated penalty takers. In the modern VAR age, this could be a significant factor.
- Group Stage Draw - The group stage can be a great chance for top strikers to fill their boots against weaker opposition rather than in the latter stages against stronger defences.
Golden Boot Statistics
In the last ten editions of the European Championships, an average of 5 goals has won the Golden Boot. That was Cristiano Ronaldo’s winning tally at Euro 2020.
England’s Harry Kane won the 2018 World Cup Golden Boot but has totalled just four goals in eleven European Championship appearances.
Surprisingly, Kylian Mbappé, who has 12 goals in 14 World Cup appearances, is still looking for his first goal at the Euros.
Golden Boot Rules
To clarify, for betting on the Euro 2024 results of the Top Goalscorer market, all goals scored during regulation time, time added-on, and Extra Time, including penalties, count towards a player’s tally.
Penalty shootout goals, however, don’t. The top goalscorer tiebreaker comes down to the least amount of minutes played.