Betting Trends for the 2023 Scottish Grand National

Michael Black
Michael Black
Betting News
Grand National Betting
Betting Trends for the 2023 Scottish Grand National

With the Grand National at Aintree now in the record books, attention quickly switches to the Scottish equivalent at Ayr Racecourse on Saturday.

The four-mile event is the pinnacle of the jumps season in Scotland and always attracts a ton of attention on horse racing betting sites in the United Kingdom.

We’ve studied the recent record books to pick out three key betting trends that we think will help you pick the winner of this year’s Scottish Grand National.


  • Look at horses carrying under 11st
  • Seven-year-olds don’t fare well.
  • Tread carefully with the favourite.

Search for Value Lower Down the Weights

The Scottish Grand National has been staged 21 times during the 21st century, and just six horses have carried 11st or more to victory.

Six of this year’s line-up have been allotted that weight or higher including the top two in the betting – Kitty’s Light and Monbeg Genius.

Kitty’s Light is bang on the 11st mark and has been backed into 4/1 with 10bet following his victory in the Eider Chase at Newcastle in February.

Christian Williams’ charge finished second in this race last year and has three pounds less to carry, but a couple of other trends suggest he may find it difficult to go one better

Seven-Year-Olds Have a Poor Record

Just three seven-year-olds have won the Scottish Grand National this century – Gingembre (2001), Godsmejudge (2013) and Vicente (2016).

Eight-year-olds have the best record with six victories, while nine-year-olds have won the race five times during this period.

Horses aged have recorded four successes and there have been three 11-year-old winners, but none since Wayward Prince in 2015.

Nine of this year’s field are seven-year-olds including Kitty’s Light, Monbeg Genius, Gevrey and Your Own Story.

Pay Heed to the Favourites Trend

Having finished second last year and run an excellent prep race at Newcastle, it would be foolish to underestimate Kitty’s Light this weekend.

However, favourites have not fared well in the Scottish Grand National in recent years, which is another worrying trend to add to the previous two.

By contrast, Flash Collonges could offer value further down the weights. He is set to carry just 10st 8lbs, is an eight-year-old and priced at 18/1 with 10bet.

Trainer Paul Nicholls has won this race on three previous occasions (1997, 2016 & 2017), and his horse could give each-way punters a good run for their money.

Scottish Grand National 2024 Betting

Here are the latest 2023 Scottish Grand National betting odds via 10bet:

  • Kittys Light – 4/1
  • Monbeg Genius - 9/2
  • Your Own Story - 17/2
  • Malina Girl - 11/1
  • Dusart - 12/1
  • Gevrey - 12/1
  • Empire Steel - 14/1
  • Elvis Mail - 16/1
  • Manothepeople - 16/1
  • Threeunderthrufive - 16/1
  • Undersupervision - 16/1
  • Flash Collonges - 18/1
  • Flower Of Scotland - 18/1
  • Magna Sam - 18/1
  • Notachance - 18/1
  • Oscar Elite - 18/1
  • Cap Du Nord - 20/1
  • Coolvalla - 20/1
  • Coopers Cross - 20/1
  • Famous Bridge - 20/1
  • Mighty Thunder - 20/1
  • Revels Hill - 20/1
  • Flash De Touzain - 25/1
  • Our Jet - 25/1
  • Sail Away - 25/1
  • Ruthless Article - 28/1
  • Half Shot - 33/1
  • Lord Accord - 33/1
  • Small Present - 33/1
  • Domaine de Lisle - 40/1
  • Waitnsee - 40/1