Lincoln Handicap 2023: Betting Trends for the Doncaster Showpiece

Lincoln Handicap 2023: Betting Trends for the Doncaster Showpiece

The 2023 Lincoln Handicap is the first big betting event of the flat racing season, providing punters with a tricky puzzle to unravel on the first weekend in April.

The one-mile event has been won by some classy performers in the past, some of which have gone on to make their mark in Group races.

We’ve scoured the recent record books to uncover three key betting trends that we think will help you pick the winner of this year’s big race.


  • William Haggas’ runners must be respected
  • A double-figure draw could be an advantage
  • O’Meara treads a familiar path

Haggas’ pair primed to run big races

Trainer William Haggas has won the Lincoln on four previous occasions and has an excellent chance of adding to his tally this time around.

His Al Mubhir has been backed off the boards with Betzone over the past week, with his price slashed to 7/2 from double figure odds.

The horse has not been seen since comfortably winning a handicap at Haydock last October, but will be fully tuned up this weekend.

Stablemate Montassib should also be respected and could reward each-way punters under jockey Cieren Fallon.

Lincoln draw may be crucial

While Doncaster is regarded as one of the fairest courses in the country, recent history suggests there is a slight bias in the draw.

Horses drawn in double figures have won seven of the last ten renewals of this race – a trend that may be worth monitoring this weekend.

However, it is worth noting that the winning horses drawn low were pitched near the rail, with two coming out of stall three and one in stall four.

If there is plenty of pace on that side of the track, do not let a low draw put you off backing your fancy on horse racing betting sites.

O’Meara hoping history repeats itself

Trainer David O’Meara won the Lincoln with Bravery in 2017 and has had plenty of other runners that have finished placed in the race.

A noteworthy element of Bravery’s win was that he was previously trained in Ireland by Aidan O’Brien, and O’Meara is attempting something similar this year.

Bopedro was formerly trained by Jessica Harrington having previously been with Jim Bolger and is the type of horse O’Meara excels with.

He ran several promising races after switching to the Yorkshire trainer and it would no surprise to see him show up well in the Lincoln.

Lincoln Handicap 2024 Betting

  • Al Mubhir - 7/2
  • Awaal - 9/2
  • Wanees - 8/1
  • Baradar - 10/1
  • Majestic - 10/1
  • Atrium - 12/1
  • Jimi Hendrix - 12/1
  • Montassib - 12/1
  • Saga - 14/1
  • Bopedro - 16/1
  • Migration - 16/1
  • Tacarib Bay - 16/1
  • Croupier - 20/1
  • Empirestateofmind - 20/1
  • Toshizou - 20/1
  • Bar – 25/1

Odds courtesy of Betzone.

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