The 2022 World Cup in Qatar is a historic sporting event, and placing a bet on it only adds to the excitement. With the greatest strikers on earth eyeing up the golden boot, we’ve got all the information you need to know about the top goal scorer in world cup 2022 betting markets.
Betting on the Top Goal Scorer in World Cup 2022
World Cup 2022 Top Goal Scorer Odds
Bet on The Top Goal Scorer
Who Are the Favourites?
The competition for the coveted golden boot trophy is intense, but the following ten players are sure to be in the running:
Harry Kane: The 2018 winner is the pre-tournament betting favourite to retain his crown, with bookmakers offering around 9/1. Kane scored 12 goals in the qualification phase.
Kylian Mbappe: The PSG superstar enjoyed another prolific domestic campaign. Mbappe leads the line for France, who have one of the easier qualifying groups, and are strong contenders to be crowned champions in Qatar.
Neymar: Brazil’s all-time top goal scorer in world cup qualification matches with 12 goals. The pre-tournament favourites’ star man is many people's pick to be the top goal scorer in the world cup 2022.
Cristiano Ronaldo: Real Madrid’s all-time leading goal scorer has endured mixed fortunes after returning to Manchester United. However, six goals in world cup qualification shows the 37-year-old can still do it on the international stage.
Lionel Messi: With six goals in 19 games prior to this competition, the Argentinian has not been prolific in world cups. However, the player many consider to be the greatest of all time is looking to sign off in style in what is likely to be his final world cup.
Romelu Lukaku: The giant Belgian front-man will be confident of bagging goals in a generous group, which includes Canada and Morocco. The Inter Milan striker underperformed last season with Chelsea, but when it comes to the national team, he consistently delivers, as he did in the 2020 Euro with 4 goals in 5 games.
Memphis Depay: Along with Harry Kane, Depay is the scorer of the most goals in qualifying games from Europe. The Dutchman is a betting outsider, perhaps because of pessimism surrounding his country’s chances, but his individual skill is not in question.
Robert Lewandowski: Barcelona's prestigious signing was on fire in 21/22, scoring more than a goal per game for both club (Bayern Munich) and country. Admittedly, he’s hampered by his country’s chances - 150/1 pre-tournament outsiders with the betting markets.
World Cup’s all-time top goal scorers
Take a look at the complete list of world cup top goal scorers from the history of the competition 👇
Golden Boot?Germany, 2006
Golden Boot?Mexico, 1970
Golden Boot?Sweden, 1958
Golden Boot?Switzerland, 1954
Golden Boot?Mexico, 1986
Golden Boot?South Africa, 2010.
Golden Boot?West Germany, 1974
How to Bet on the Top Goalscorer
The top goal scorer in world cup 2022 market is one of the most popular, and can be found on almost all betting sites.To find it, simply look for ‘world cup outrights‘ in the bookmaker’s football section. Alternatively, betting sites such as 10Bet and Bwin have a search feature on the homepage.
As there are 32 teams with squads of 22 players, the betting possibilities are huge. Typically the market is listed with the favourite at the top, and the rest following below in ascending odds value. If a betting site doesn’t list a player you’d like to bet on, you can always get in touch with them through live chat or email to see if they can add your player to the market.
Betting on the world cup top scorer prediction stays open throughout the competition, with odds adjusting to developments in the tournament. Markets may freeze at critical times where the odds could drastically change, but this will be for very brief periods.
World Cup Top Goal Scorer Betting Strategies
- Know the tournament structure. The fixtures for the eight groups of four have already been decided, but it’s important to look beyond this and work out each team’s potential future opponents.
- Get the best odds. Do not just take the first betting price you see. The top goal scorer in world cup 2022 market is available across most betting sites.
- You can change your position. Most betting sites, including Bwin and SportNation, have a cash out function. So if your player isn’t living up to the hype, you can always get out of the bet and re-enter the market.
- Promotions. Always check the ‘promotions’ section of the website as you could be missing out on value; particularly for football-focused sites such as Bwin and 10Bet.
The world cup dates back to 1930, so it’s important to only consider recent trends; the game has completely changed since Just Fontaine’s 13 goals in the1958 world cup.
Of the last four world cup top goal scorer winners, two have scored five goals and two have scored six goals. This is a reasonable indication as to what the top goal scorer in world cup 2022 will need to do.
Here’s a list of the highest team scorers in previous world cups:
All of the teams are way short of Hungary’s impressive return of 27 goals in 1954.
The world cup top goal scorer 2022 is not the same as a normal top goal scorer market, where there can be more than one winner and dead-heat rules may apply.
The world cup top goal scorer is a race for the ‘golden boot’; an award determined by members of the FIFA Technical Study Group. If two or more players score the same number of goals, the following is used to settle on a winner:
- Number of assists.
- If the number of assists is the same, the player who spent the fewest minutes on the pitch wins.
Also, note the following when you place a bet:
- Penalties in penalty shoot-outs don’t count.
- Goals in extra time do count.
- Goals scored in the 3rd place/4th place play-off do count.
Betting on an Underdog?
The top goal scorer in the world cup 2022 betting market is wide open. Harry Kane, most bookmakers’ pre-tournament favourite, had odds as high as 11/2 - giving him a predicted 15% chance of winning.
With such a difficult to predict market, betting on an outsider gives you the chance to land a big win from a small stake. And as you are staking less, this opens up the possibility to bet on more than one player; a great way to spread your interest.
Team performance is hugely linked to the chances of a player winning the golden boot. Other than James Rodrgiuez’s win in 2014, where Colombia bowed out at the quarter-final stage, other recent winners have had the opportunity to play in the maximum amount of games. So, with an open competition with no clear pre-tournament betting favourite, it’s entirely possible that a country nobody expected could make a strong run, much like Croatia in 2018.
Other Popular World Cup Markets
The top goal scorer world cup 2022 market is very popular, but take a look at some of the other betting opportunities:
- Group stage winner: Unlike the knockout rounds, group stage fixtures have already been determined. This gives you the chance to make your betting calculation on games that you definitely know will take place.
- Finalists: This market allows you to focus on one side of the draw. Finals are pressure-filled events and you never know quite how it affects the players; as with Brazil’s capitulation in France ‘98. Not all bookmakers offer this market, but you’ll be able to find it at betting sites such as 10Bet.
- Winners Group: Simply predict which of the eight groups the tournament winner will come from. Choosing a strong group such as E, with Germany and Spain, could appeal to some bettors as it gives you two very strong winning prospects. You’ll find this market at bookmakers such as LeoVegas UK.
Interesting World Cup Goal Facts
When considering your top goal scorer in world cup 2022 bet, these useful facts will help you make a better decision:
- No player has won the Golden Boot and the Golden Ball (best player) since Salvatore Schillaci in 1990.
- The average goals per game in the 2018 World Cup was 2.64.
- In 2018, the goals per game in the group stage (2.54) was lower than the overall tournament average.
- Spain have been awarded the most penalties (18) in all world cups and converted the most (15).
- Messi is the only player in history to score in a world cup in his teens, twenties, and thirties.
Recommended betting sites
After reviewing a complete list of bookmakers, here are the best betting sites for the top goal scorer in World Cup 2022 market:
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